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Eric Apricot's avatar

Great article! I came over here from a Maxwell Baumbach article.

I’m pretty familiar with the Warriors players who make up a large proportion of the exceptions to your general patterns and I believe they can be discounted somewhat since they mainly got their playing time through significant team injuries.

GP2 fits your patterns and is a legit success story and plus level pro if(!) healthy.

Quinn Cook and Alfonso McKinnie are two exceptions to your patterns. They both played in the injury plagued 2019 playoff run where KD and Klay famously were injured. If healthy, Cook and McKinnie would have had a lot less playoff time.

Eric Paschall is another exception. However, he only got playing time in the 2019-20 season with Steph and Klay out for the year and KD departed. The year after, he fell out of the rotation and never played real NBA minutes.

Looking forward to reading your other pieces.

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Arash's avatar

What a fantastic article, I highly appreciate this work!! Its quite gratifying to realize that what I've instinctively leaned towards in my draft evaluations (do it all players that dominated in college) seems to be born out in the data.

I will also add, that quite often those players are not drafted high because they have one THING thats a swing factor. For example, Trayce Jackson Davis was a dominant scorer in college who also was a really good passer and rebounder and defender in college.

However, his scoring was oriented around the post and he was a slow leaper so he had a swing factor which is can he be an effective lob threat and can his post scoring translate.

The answer has been sort of and no, so he's been a so so player for the Warriors so far. But yeah, great article!

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